CalledUnofficial results

Utah's 2nd District

U.S. House · Utah

Blake Moore won re-election by 7.9 points over Peter Crosby.

Blake MooreRepublican · winner · incumbent
50.1%126,992
Peter CrosbyDemocrat
42.2%106,944
Carlton E. BowenIndependent American
3.3%8,402
Robert M. MoesingerIndependent
2.6%6,502
Daniel CottamLibertarian
1.8%4,546
253,386 votes

Source: Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+29.92024 Pres.R+7.92026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Peter CrosbyBlake Moore
$153.9K
Raised by the campaign
$2.8M
$100.8K
Spent by the campaign
$2.7M
$47.9K
Cash on hand
$1.6M
$0
Outside spending for them
$516.4K
$487.2K
Outside spending against their opponent
$0
$641.1K
All money helping them
$3.3M

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

Defending Conservative Values PACAgainst Moore$485.2K
DEFEND AMERICAN JOBSFor Moore$400K
Center Forward Initiative Inc (CFI)For Moore$99.8K
DEFENDING UTAH VALUES FEDERAL SUPER PACFor Moore$16.5K
DEFENDING UTAH VALUES FEDERAL SUPER PACAgainst Moore$2K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Moore ahead by 6.9. Moore won by 7.9: a 1.0-point miss toward Democrats.

R+10R+5EvenD+5D+10Result R+7.9Final average R+6.9Oct 1Nov 3
  • Poll with Crosby ahead
  • Poll with Moore ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSampleCrosbyMooreMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
Lighthouse Research for Utah Debate ComissionSep 10–Sep 24515 RV3439R+5R+6.9+2.9—utahdebatecommission.org ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 24, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Peter Crosby
2%
Blake Moore
98%
Projected margin
R+16.3
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Blake Moore (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative from the 1st district
Peter Crosby (D)
Project manager

Also on the ballot: Carlton E. Bowen (Independent American), 3.3%; Robert M. Moesinger (Independent), 2.6%; Daniel Cottam (Libertarian), 1.8%