Nevada's 2nd District
U.S. House · Nevada
Teresa Benitez-Thompson flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 5.9 points over David Flippo.
Source: Nevada Secretary of State unofficial results; race call: civicAPIUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| Invest in Tomorrow Coalition PACAgainst Flippo | $1.8M | |
| Club for Growth ActionFor Flippo, against Benitez-Thompson | $1.2M | |
| FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDFor Flippo, against Benitez-Thompson | $939.5K | |
| RESTORATION OF AMERICA PACFor Flippo | $747.4K | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.Against Benitez-Thompson | $675K | |
| Win it Back PACAgainst Benitez-Thompson | $420.1K | |
| LCV Victory FundAgainst Flippo | $300K | |
| CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.Against Flippo | $219.3K | |
| American Honor PACFor Flippo | $162.8K | |
| SEIU COPE (Service Employees International Union Committee On Political Education)For Benitez-Thompson | $107K | |
| MAKE THE ROAD ACTION POLITICAL COMMITTEEFor Benitez-Thompson | $69.3K | |
| American Liberty Foundation PACFor Flippo | $55K | |
| American Principles Project PACAgainst Benitez-Thompson | $49.4K |
Show 5 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Flippo ahead by 3.5. Benitez-Thompson won by 5.9: a 9.4-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Benitez-Thompson ahead
- Poll with Flippo ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Benitez-Thompson | Flippo | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling for House Majority PACD-sponsored | Oct 12–Oct 13 | — LV | 44 | 46 | R+2 | R+3.5 | −7.9 | B+ | x.com ↗ |
| GBAO for Nevada AllianceD-sponsored | Aug 31–Sep 3 | 500 LV | 38 | 37 | D+1 | D+0.8 | −4.9 | C | thenevadaindependent.com ↗ |
| Strategies 360 for Teresa Benitez-Thompson's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 22–Aug 26 | 400 LV | 42 | 45 | R+3 | R+6.3 | −8.9 | A− | drive.google.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 13, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Teresa Benitez-Thompson
- 14%
- David Flippo
- 86%
- Projected margin
- R+6.2
The candidates
Chief of staff to Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford and former majority leader of the Nevada Assembly (2016–2022) from the 27th district (2010–2022)David Flippo (R)
Financial advisor, former Air Force lieutenant colonel, and candidate for Nevada's 4th congressional district in 2024 (previously ran in the 4th district)Lynn Chapman (IAP)
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Benitez-Thompson.