New Jersey's 7th District
U.S. House · New Jersey
Rebecca Bennett flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 16.2 points over Thomas Kean Jr..
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| LAND I LOVE PACAgainst Bennett | $4.1M | |
| VoteVetsFor Bennett, against Kean | $1.3M | |
| REAL CHANGE PACAgainst Bennett | $660.7K | |
| 314 Action FundAgainst Kean | $482.4K | |
| America PACFor Kean, against Bennett | $460.4K | |
| Giffords PACAgainst Kean | $378.4K | |
| Progressive Turnout ProjectFor Bennett | $358.1K | |
| YOUR COMMUNITY PACAgainst Kean | $289K | |
| CFFE PACAgainst Kean | $263.9K | |
| Article One PACFor Bennett | $253.7K | |
| THE TURNOUT PROJECTFor Bennett | $241.6K | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Kean | $79.3K |
Show 4 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Bennett ahead by 6.2. Bennett won by 16.2: a 10.0-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Bennett ahead
- Poll with Kean ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Bennett | Kean | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StimSight Research for InsiderNJ | Sep 8–Sep 12 | 498 LV | 47 | 42 | D+5 | D+6.2 | −11.2 | — | insidernj.com ↗ |
| Z to A Research for 314 ActionD-sponsored | May 24–May 26 | 430 LV | 47 | 43 | D+4 | D+3.0 | −12.2 | — | newjerseyglobe.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 12, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Rebecca Bennett
- 85%
- Thomas Kean Jr.
- 15%
- Projected margin
- D+6.0
The candidates
Healthcare executive and former United States Navy aviatorThomas Kean Jr. (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative
Also on the ballot: Seamus Patrick O'Toole (Independent), 1.5%; Write-in (Nonpartisan), 0.1%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Bennett.