Flipped from RepublicanCalled Nov 3Unofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

New Jersey's 7th District

U.S. House · New Jersey

Rebecca Bennett flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 16.2 points over Thomas Kean Jr..

Rebecca BennettDemocrat · winner
57.3%189,977
Thomas Kean Jr.Republican · incumbent
41.1%136,388
Seamus Patrick O'TooleIndependent
1.5%5,111
Write-inNonpartisan
0.1%204
88% of the expected vote counted · 331,680 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+2.82022 HouseR+5.62024 HouseR+1.32024 Pres.D+16.22026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Rebecca BennettThomas Kean Jr.
$8.8M
Raised by the campaign
$6.1M
$7.7M
Spent by the campaign
$4.8M
$1.1M
Cash on hand
$1.4M
$2.5M
Outside spending for them
$361.5K
$1.9M
Outside spending against their opponent
$5.2M
$13.1M
All money helping them
$11.7M

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

LAND I LOVE PACAgainst Bennett$4.1M
VoteVetsFor Bennett, against Kean$1.3M
REAL CHANGE PACAgainst Bennett$660.7K
314 Action FundAgainst Kean$482.4K
America PACFor Kean, against Bennett$460.4K
Giffords PACAgainst Kean$378.4K
Progressive Turnout ProjectFor Bennett$358.1K
YOUR COMMUNITY PACAgainst Kean$289K
CFFE PACAgainst Kean$263.9K
Article One PACFor Bennett$253.7K
THE TURNOUT PROJECTFor Bennett$241.6K
NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Kean$79.3K
Show 4 more

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Bennett ahead by 6.2. Bennett won by 16.2: a 10.0-point miss toward Republicans.

R+10EvenD+10Result D+16.2Final average D+6.2Jun 1Jul 1Aug 1Sep 1Oct 1Nov 3
  • Poll with Bennett ahead
  • Poll with Kean ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSampleBennettKeanMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
StimSight Research for InsiderNJSep 8–Sep 12498 LV4742D+5D+6.2−11.2—insidernj.com ↗
Z to A Research for 314 ActionD-sponsoredMay 24–May 26430 LV4743D+4D+3.0−12.2—newjerseyglobe.com ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 12, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Rebecca Bennett
85%
Thomas Kean Jr.
15%
Projected margin
D+6.0
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Rebecca Bennett (D)
Healthcare executive and former United States Navy aviator
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative

Also on the ballot: Seamus Patrick O'Toole (Independent), 1.5%; Write-in (Nonpartisan), 0.1%

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Bennett.