Michigan's 13th District
U.S. House · Michigan
Donavan McKinney held the seat for Democrats, winning by 56.5 points over T.P. Nykoriak.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| Justice Democrats PACFor McKinney | $460.5K | |
| National Nurses United for Patient ProtectionFor McKinney | $400K | |
| Working Families Party PACFor McKinney | $309.1K | |
| Protect ProgressAgainst McKinney | $268.7K | |
| AMERICAN PRIORITIES (AP)For McKinney | $150K | |
| Michigan Peoples ChoiceFor McKinney | $100K | |
| Rolling Sea Action FundFor McKinney | $50K | |
| EMGAGE FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEFor McKinney | $35.5K |
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. No FEC filings matched for T. P. Nykoriak. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had McKinney ahead by 52.8. McKinney won by 56.5: a 3.7-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with McKinney ahead
- Poll with Nykoriak ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | McKinney | Nykoriak | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center for Strategic Politics for Democratic Socialists of America National Electoral CommissionD-sponsored | Oct 28–Oct 30 | 310 LV | 69 | 19 | D+50 | D+52.8 | −6.5 | — | stratpolitics.org ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 30, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Donavan McKinney
- >99%
- T. P. Nykoriak
- <1%
- Projected margin
- D+52.3
The candidates
State representative from the 11th district (2023–present)T.P. Nykoriak (R)
Also on the ballot: Simone R. Coleman (Working Class), 2.1%; Chris Dardzinski (Constitution), 1.0%; Raelyn Light (Green), 0.6%; Write-in (Nonpartisan), 0.3%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for McKinney.