Michigan's 10th District
U.S. House · Michigan
Christina Hines flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 7.2 points over Michael Bouchard Jr..
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| HMPFor Hines, against Bouchard | $11.3M | |
| RESTORATION OF AMERICA PACAgainst Hines | $1.1M | |
| Giffords PACFor Hines, against Bouchard | $994.6K | |
| LCV Victory FundFor Hines, against Bouchard | $934.6K | |
| Ready for the FightAgainst Bouchard | $839.2K | |
| CFFE PACFor Hines | $531.2K | |
| Pro-Choice Majority ActionFor Hines | $500K | |
| American Federation of State County & Municipal Employees PEOPLEAgainst Bouchard | $459.5K | |
| SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC.Against Hines | $430K | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Bouchard | $381.1K | |
| HONOR, DUTY & DISCIPLINE PACFor Bouchard | $363K | |
| AB PACAgainst Bouchard | $353.8K |
Show 4 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Bouchard ahead by 1.6. Hines won by 7.2: a 8.8-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Hines ahead
- Poll with Bouchard ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Hines | Bouchard | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group for House Majority PACD-sponsored | Aug 10–Aug 13 | 600 LV | 45 | 45 | Even | R+1.6 | −7.2 | C | thehousemajoritypac.com ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for Christina Hines's campaignD-sponsored | Jan 16–Jan 17 | 592 RV | 44 | 42 | D+2 | D+2.9 | −5.2 | B+ | the-downballot.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Aug 13, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Christina Hines
- 65%
- Mike Bouchard Jr.
- 35%
- Projected margin
- D+2.4
The candidates
ProsecutorMichael Bouchard Jr. (R)
Also on the ballot: Andrea L. Kirby (Working Class), 1.1%; Mike Saliba (Libertarian), 0.9%; Kwabena Nkromo (Green), 0.3%; Write-in (Nonpartisan), 0.1%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Hines.