Kentucky's 4th District
U.S. House · Kentucky
Ed Gallrein held the seat for Republicans, winning by 13.4 points over Melissa Strange.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| KENTUCKY 4TH PACAgainst Gallrein | $6.7M | |
| RJC Victory FundFor Gallrein | $3.5M | |
| MAGA KYFor Gallrein | $1.3M | |
| UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT (UDP)For Gallrein | $579.3K | |
| HOLD THE LINE PACAgainst Gallrein | $285K | |
| SAVE AMERICAN FREEDOMFor Gallrein | $34.9K | |
| Gun Rights AmericaAgainst Gallrein | $24K |
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Melissa Strange
- <1%
- Ed Gallrein
- >99%
- Projected margin
- R+26.9
The candidates
Farmer, retired Navy SEAL, and candidate for Kentucky's 7th Senate district in 2024Melissa Strange (D)
Businesswoman
Also on the ballot: Jeremy Todd (Libertarian), 4.9%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Gallrein.