Called Nov 3 by civicAPIUnofficial results

Indiana's 4th District

U.S. House · Indiana

Jim Baird won re-election by 8.4 points over Drew Cox.

Jim BairdRepublican · winner · incumbent
54.2%115,017
Drew CoxDemocrat
45.8%97,143
David E. BokashIndependent
0.0%81
212,241 votes

Source: Indiana Election Division unofficial results; race call: civicAPIUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+36.42022 HouseR+32.42024 HouseR+29.92024 Pres.R+8.42026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Drew CoxJim Baird
$60.6K
Raised by the campaign
$604.8K
$53.7K
Spent by the campaign
$709.1K
$6.8K
Cash on hand
$110.4K
$0
Outside spending for them
$531.7K
$200K
Outside spending against their opponent
$0
$260.6K
All money helping them
$1.1M

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

DEFEND AMERICAN JOBSFor Baird$513.9K
HOMELAND PAC INCAgainst Baird$200K
National Association of Realtors Political Action CommitteeFor Baird$11.8K
PATRIOTIC FUND, INC.For Baird$6.1K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Drew Cox
<1%
Jim Baird
>99%
Projected margin
R+21.8
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Baird.