California's 7th District
U.S. House · California
Doris Matsui won re-election by 11.3 points over Mai Vang.
Top-two primary
Source: California Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Other candidates' campaigns: Mai Vang $1.8M.
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The polls
- Poll with Matsui ahead
- Poll with R ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Matsui | R | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab | Oct 28–Nov 1 | 442 LV | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | thedemocracylab.com ↗ |
| Data for Progress for Justice Democrats, Leaders We Deserve, Working Families Party PACD-sponsored | Aug 18–Aug 21 | 651 LV | 28 | — | — | — | — | B | x.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Nov 1, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
No Republican was on the ballot, so the model gave the seat to Doris Matsui without simulating it.
How the forecast works →