Arkansas's 2nd District
U.S. House · Arkansas
French Hill won re-election by 1.7 points over Chris Jones.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| COMMITTEE FOR AMERICAN LEADERSHIPAgainst Jones | $2.9M | |
| Ready for the FightAgainst Hill | $2.1M | |
| FairshakeFor Hill | $1M | |
| DEFEND AMERICAN JOBSFor Hill | $418.1K | |
| Conservatives for AmericaFor Hill | $100K | |
| American Liberty Foundation PACFor Hill | $60K | |
| National Association of Realtors Political Action CommitteeFor Hill | $39.2K | |
| SAVE AMERICAN FREEDOMFor Hill | $35.5K | |
| Indivisible ActionFor Jones | $13K | |
| Science Victory FundFor Jones, against Hill | $5.2K |
Show 2 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Hill ahead by 3.1. Hill won by 1.7: a 1.4-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Jones ahead
- Poll with Hill ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Jones | Hill | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College for Poll Vault | Oct 12–Oct 14 | 383 LV | 48 | 52 | R+4 | R+3.2 | −2.3 | A+ | pollvault.substack.com ↗ |
| Hendrix College for Talk Business & Politics | Aug 11–Aug 12 | 1,112 LV | 48 | 44 | D+4 | R+0.3 | +5.7 | A− | talkbusiness.net ↗ |
| 2040 Strategy Group for Chris Jones's campaignD-sponsoredMain question · in average | Apr 28–May 8 | — LV | 46 | 43 | D+3 | D+0.7 | +4.7 | — | arktimes.com ↗ |
| 2040 Strategy Group for Chris Jones's campaignD-sponsoredMain question | Apr 28–May 8 | — RV | 47 | 41 | D+6 | — | +7.7 | — | arktimes.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 14, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Chris Jones
- 20%
- French Hill
- 80%
- Projected margin
- R+4.7
The candidates
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Hill.