Oregon Governor
Governor · Oregon
Tina Kotek won re-election by 9.6 points over Christine Drazan.
Cross-party nominations
Source: Oregon Secretary of State unofficial results; race call: civicAPIUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Kotek compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 0 of 36 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Clackamas, −9.2 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 28 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Kotek ahead by 1.8. Kotek won by 9.6: a 7.8-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Kotek ahead
- Poll with Drazan ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Kotek | Drazan | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO for Tina Kotek's campaignD-sponsored | Oct 1–Oct 4 | 800 LV | 46 | 42 | D+4 | D+3.2 | −5.6 | C | opb.org ↗ |
| DHM Research for The Oregonian/OregonLiveMain question · in average | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 549 LV | 46 | 44 | D+2 | D+2.6 | −7.6 | B | oregonlive.com ↗ |
| DHM Research for The Oregonian/OregonLiveMain question | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 600 RV | 43 | 43 | Even | — | −9.6 | B | oregonlive.com ↗ |
| DHM Research for Oregon Public Broadcasting | Sep 17–Sep 27 | 915 LV | 46 | 47 | R+1 | R+0.8 | −10.6 | B | opb.org ↗ |
| DHM Research for Grow Oregon | Sep 3–Sep 9 | 600 LV | 43 | 45 | R+2 | R+1.7 | −11.6 | B | oregonjournalismproject.org ↗ |
| Public Opinion Strategies for Christine Drazan's campaignR-sponsored | Jun 22–Jun 24 | 600 RV | 44 | 48 | R+4 | — | −13.6 | B | oregonlive.com ↗ |
| Hoffman Research Group for Chris Dudley's campaignR-sponsored | May 11–May 12 | 603 LV | 45 | 45 | Even | D+5.2 | −9.6 | C+ | oregonlive.com ↗ |
| FM3 Research for Charlie Health | Jan 28–Feb 4 | 1,065 LV | 45 | 40 | D+5 | D+6.6 | −4.6 | D | oregonlive.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 4, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Tina Kotek
- 75%
- Christine Drazan
- 25%
- Projected margin
- D+4.7
The candidates
Incumbent governor (2023–present)Christine Drazan (R)
State senator (2025–present), former minority leader of the Oregon House of Representatives (2019–2021, 2025) and nominee for governor in 2022
Also on the ballot: Brett Smith (Green), 2.9%; Write-in (Other party), 0.1%
Also on this ballot here
| U.S. Senate | D+19.4 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Oregon Secretary of State and civicAPI (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Kotek.