Connecticut Governor
Governor · Connecticut
Ned Lamont won re-election by 19.1 points over Ryan Fazio.
Fusion voting
Source: Connecticut Secretary of the State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Lamont compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 8 of 8 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: New Haven, +6.7 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Lamont ahead by 15.5. Lamont won by 19.1: a 3.6-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Lamont ahead
- Poll with Fazio ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Lamont | Fazio | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | Oct 27–Oct 31 | 811 LV | 54 | 41 | D+13 | D+11.8 | −6.1 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| Emerson College for Nexstar | Oct 10–Oct 12 | 800 LV | 51.39 | 37.79 | D+13.6 | D+16.1 | −5.5 | A+ | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| Quinnipiac University | Oct 8–Oct 12 | 1,225 LV | 58 | 38 | D+20 | D+19.8 | +0.9 | A− | poll.qu.edu ↗ |
| GreatBlue Research for Connecticut Insider, Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement, WFSBMain question | Oct 6–Oct 12 | 1,000 RV | 56.3 | 33.1 | D+23.2 | — | +4.1 | C | wfsb.com ↗ |
| GreatBlue Research for Connecticut Insider, Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement, WFSBMain question · in average | Oct 6–Oct 12 | — LV | 61.5 | 34.3 | D+27.2 | D+25.5 | +8.1 | C | wfsb.com ↗ |
| YouGov for Wesleyan SurveyLab CTMain question · in average | Sep 22–Oct 7 | — LV | 57.2 | 34.1 | D+23.1 | D+24.8 | +4.0 | B | surveylab.wescreates.wesleyan.edu ↗ |
| YouGov for Wesleyan SurveyLab CTMain question | Sep 22–Oct 7 | 1,000 RV | 52.6 | 31.7 | D+20.9 | — | +1.8 | B | surveylab.wescreates.wesleyan.edu ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Sep 17–Sep 21 | 540 LV | 55 | 38 | D+17 | — | −2.1 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| co/efficient | Sep 16–Sep 17 | 979 LV | 48 | 41 | D+7 | D+12.4 | −12.1 | B+ | coefficient.org ↗ |
| Quinnipiac University | Sep 8–Sep 14 | 1,288 LV | 55 | 38 | D+17 | — | −2.1 | A− | poll.qu.edu ↗ |
| GreatBlue Research for Connecticut Insider, Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement | Sep 1–Sep 8 | 1,000 RV | 52.2 | 36.5 | D+15.7 | — | −3.4 | C | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Aug 20–Aug 24 | 803 LV | 52 | 37 | D+15 | — | −4.1 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| GreatBlue Research for Connecticut Insider, Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement, WFSBMain question · in average | Jul 21–Jul 26 | — LV | 54.8 | 32.7 | D+22.1 | — | +3.0 | C | wfsb.com ↗ |
| GreatBlue Research for Connecticut Insider, Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement, WFSBMain question | Jul 21–Jul 26 | 1,000 RV | 49.7 | 29.5 | D+20.2 | — | +1.1 | C | wfsb.com ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Jun 18–Jun 23 | 821 LV | 49 | 36 | D+13 | — | −6.1 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 31, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Ned Lamont
- 99%
- Ryan Fazio
- 1%
- Projected margin
- D+16.3
The candidates
Incumbent governor (2019–present)Ryan Fazio (R)
State senator from the 36th district (2021–present)
Also on the ballot: Zenobia Adgers (Other party), 0.0%; L. Lee Whitnum (Other party), 0.0%; Christian Noe (Other party), 0.0%
Also on this ballot here
| Attorney General | D+26.4 |
| Secretary of State | D+26.9 |
| Treasurer | D+20.7 |
| Comptroller | D+26.0 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Connecticut Secretary of the State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET