Called Nov 3Unofficial results

Arkansas Governor

Name: Arkansas Governor
Start: 2026-11-03
Location: Arkansas

Governor · Arkansas

Sarah Huckabee Sanders won re-election by 15.3 points over Fredrick Love.

Sarah Huckabee SandersRepublican · winner · incumbent

53.9%477,303

Fredrick LoveDemocrat

38.6%341,835

Colt ShelbyLibertarian

7.5%66,911

90% of the expected vote counted · 886,049 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 2:10 AM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every county, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Love compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 75 of 75 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Franklin, +33.9 points.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift

PulaskiD+28.7+6.6

BentonR+12.0+15.0

WashingtonD+11.7+18.4

SalineR+27.5+12.7

FaulknerR+16.6+15.8

SebastianR+21.5+16.1

GarlandR+27.5+8.8

CraigheadR+18.4+19.0

Show 67 more

LonokeR+40.3+13.4

WhiteR+48.7+12.5

JeffersonD+27.9+7.9

PopeR+36.2+16.0

CrawfordR+43.7+14.5

BaxterR+49.6+7.3

UnionR+21.0+12.6

BooneR+46.8+18.1

CrittendenD+15.6+13.3

MillerR+38.9+12.2

GreeneR+45.0+16.2

CleburneR+60.7+7.2

IndependenceR+46.3+13.2

CarrollR+14.2+17.5

Hot SpringR+36.7+15.5

MississippiR+10.2+21.4

JohnsonR+31.6+19.8

ConwayR+26.3+14.1

OuachitaR+9.1+9.9

ClarkR+5.0+15.4

ColumbiaR+22.2+14.3

LoganR+41.3+20.9

MarionR+51.6+8.6

Van BurenR+51.0+9.2

SharpR+55.7+7.0

PolkR+57.5+13.0

GrantR+53.4+15.4

PoinsettR+45.7+17.8

AshleyR+36.4+11.5

FranklinR+28.5+33.9

MadisonR+41.2+17.4

DrewR+18.9+14.9

St. FrancisD+14.5+13.8

YellR+41.0+19.7

IzardR+56.8+9.1

RandolphR+50.3+13.4

StoneR+52.4+9.3

CrossR+25.4+22.2

PhillipsD+22.8+9.5

HempsteadR+21.5+18.2

ArkansasR+28.8+15.3

LawrenceR+51.4+12.6

Little RiverR+38.4+15.9

FultonR+51.4+10.7

ClayR+51.0+10.7

JacksonR+35.2+13.5

PerryR+45.7+11.8

HowardR+26.5+20.1

SevierR+25.8+35.9

ChicotD+17.8+13.8

PikeR+54.6+18.5

NewtonR+39.8+24.3

DeshaD+12.8+17.6

MontgomeryR+54.4+8.8

ScottR+59.0+14.6

SearcyR+48.1+24.1

LincolnR+31.1+19.0

ClevelandR+53.5+14.1

PrairieR+53.1+12.7

BradleyR+23.0+16.0

NevadaR+25.6+14.1

MonroeR+4.0+11.7

LeeD+17.3+13.8

LafayetteR+22.9+15.4

WoodruffR+25.6+6.8

DallasR+15.7+13.8

CalhounR+47.1+14.8

Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Sanders ahead by 27.9. Sanders won by 15.3: a 12.6-point miss toward Republicans.

Poll with Love ahead
Poll with Sanders ahead
Final polling average
Result

Pollster	Dates	Sample	Love	Sanders	Margin	Adjusted	Miss vs result	Grade	Release
Hendrix College for Talk Business & Politics	Oct 8–Oct 13	709 LV	32	51	R+19	R+28.6	−3.7	A−	talkbusiness.net ↗
Hendrix College for Talk Business & Politics	Aug 11–Aug 12	1,217 LV	40	45	R+5	R+10.5	+10.3	A−	talkbusiness.net ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 13, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Fredrick Love: <1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders: >99%
Projected margin: R+25.5

How the forecast works →

The candidates

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
Incumbent governor (2023–present)Fredrick Love (D)
State senator from SD-15 (2023–present)Colt Shelby (L)
Farmer

Also on this ballot here

U.S. Senate	R+11.8
Attorney General	Unopposed
Secretary of State	R+16.3
Treasurer	Unopposed
Auditor	Unopposed

Results within this state. Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Changes to this page

Nov 3 · Race called for Sanders.