Called Nov 4Unofficial results

Alabama Governor

Governor · Alabama

Tommy Tuberville held the seat for Republicans, winning by 4.0 points over Doug Jones.

Tommy TubervilleRepublican · winner
52.0%873,339
Doug JonesDemocrat
48.0%806,270
98% of the expected vote counted · 1,679,609 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every county, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Jones compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 67 of 67 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Tuscaloosa, +29.5 points.

R+90R+90R+45R+45EvenEvenD+45D+45D+90D+90Moved toward Democrats ↑↓ Moved toward RepublicansJeffersonMadisonMobileShelbyBaldwinMontgomery2024 presidential margin →2026 margin →

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

EvenR+19.12018 GovernorR+37.72022 GovernorR+30.92024 Pres.R+4.02026 Governor

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift
JeffersonD+36.6+26.2
MadisonD+16.2+25.1
MobileD+9.2+25.5
ShelbyR+12.8+27.6
BaldwinR+39.0+18.8
MontgomeryD+50.3+19.9
TuscaloosaD+9.2+29.5
LeeR+3.2+24.3
Show 59 more
LimestoneR+16.6+26.9
MorganR+25.4+26.8
CalhounR+17.3+27.1
HoustonR+26.9+20.5
St. ClairR+39.6+24.3
EtowahR+27.1+28.3
ElmoreR+31.0+20.7
LauderdaleR+23.5+27.6
CullmanR+62.7+17.3
MarshallR+46.7+24.6
TalladegaR+5.5+28.1
AutaugaR+21.0+24.9
DeKalbR+46.7+26.8
WalkerR+49.1+22.6
ColbertR+17.2+29.0
BlountR+60.8+19.9
CoffeeR+38.8+18.8
RussellD+22.4+20.7
TallapoosaR+31.6+17.7
JacksonR+47.2+23.9
DallasD+48.3+16.0
DaleR+33.5+18.5
ChiltonR+50.9+20.8
CovingtonR+56.2+15.9
ChambersR+2.7+20.4
PikeR+3.6+21.4
LawrenceR+35.8+26.3
EscambiaR+26.4+19.7
ClarkeD+5.6+22.6
GenevaR+62.7+14.0
CherokeeR+58.2+16.9
MarionR+64.3+17.0
FranklinR+40.6+32.2
MarengoD+15.1+18.8
MonroeR+7.3+15.7
BarbourD+3.9+18.5
RandolphR+47.2+17.3
WinstonR+66.2+17.1
PickensR+7.4+15.9
HenryR+34.5+16.0
ButlerR+3.8+18.7
MaconD+66.5+10.6
WashingtonR+37.6+17.4
BibbR+42.0+22.2
HaleD+26.9+20.1
FayetteR+55.9+15.7
ChoctawR+7.8+15.9
WilcoxD+42.2+10.9
ConecuhD+2.6+16.4
LowndesD+51.6+14.6
CrenshawR+36.2+18.2
ClayR+54.8+15.0
LamarR+62.7+12.8
CleburneR+67.8+15.2
SumterD+54.8+13.8
PerryD+55.5+12.9
CoosaR+23.0+20.2
BullockD+57.1+11.7
GreeneD+68.8+13.3

Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Tuberville ahead by 8.7. Tuberville won by 4.0: a 4.7-point miss toward Republicans.

R+20R+10EvenD+10D+20Result R+4.0Final average R+8.7Dec 1Jan 1Feb 1Mar 1Apr 1May 1Jun 1Jul 1Aug 1Sep 1Oct 1Nov 3
  • Poll with Jones ahead
  • Poll with Tuberville ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSampleJonesTubervilleMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
Blueprint PollingOct 22–Oct 24695 LV44.947.9R+3R+6.0+1.0A−chismstrategies.com ↗
Cygnal for Alabama Daily News, Gray TelevisionOct 16–Oct 17500 LV4051.2R+11.2R+11.4−7.2A+wbrc.com ↗
The Alabama PollOct 15–Oct 16600 LV3951R+12R+11.3−8.0—al.com ↗
RMG Research for Alabama Policy Action, Napolitan News ServiceR-sponsoredSep 21–Sep 25800 RV3750R+13R+10.7−9.0B+al.com ↗
yes. every kid. foundation.Jul 8–Jul 11601 LV4149R+8R+7.5−4.0—yeseverykidfoundation.org ↗
CygnalNov 12–Nov 13605 LV34.152.6R+18.5R+18.2−14.5A+cygn.al ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 24, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Doug Jones
6%
Tommy Tuberville
94%
Projected margin
R+10.3
How the forecast works →

Also on this ballot here

U.S. SenateR+9.4
Lieutenant GovernorR+8.7
Attorney GeneralR+10.0
Secretary of StateR+9.2
TreasurerR+10.0
AuditorR+10.5

Results within this state. Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Tuberville.