2026CalledUnofficial results

2026 election for Alabama Secretary of State

Secretary of State · Alabama

Caroleene Dobson (R) won with 54.6% of the vote, defeating Wayne Rogers (D) by 9.2 points.

Caroleene DobsonRepublican · winner
54.6%909,486
Wayne RogersDemocrat
45.4%756,505
1,665,991 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every county, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Rogers compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 67 of 67 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Talladega, +25.2 points.

R+90R+90R+45R+45EvenEvenD+45D+45D+90D+90Moved toward Democrats ↑↓ Moved toward RepublicansJeffersonMadisonMobileShelbyBaldwinMontgomery2024 presidential margin →2026 margin →

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

EvenR+22.12018R+34.82022R+30.92024 Pres.R+9.22026

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift
JeffersonD+31.0+20.6
MadisonD+9.5+18.4
MobileD+3.6+19.9
ShelbyR+19.6+20.8
BaldwinR+45.3+12.5
MontgomeryD+46.6+16.2
TuscaloosaD+4.1+24.4
LeeR+9.2+18.4
Show 59 more
LimestoneR+20.9+22.6
MorganR+32.0+20.2
CalhounR+21.6+22.9
HoustonR+30.7+16.7
St. ClairR+43.5+20.3
ElmoreR+35.7+16.0
EtowahR+33.5+21.8
LauderdaleR+30.4+20.7
CullmanR+68.0+12.1
MarshallR+52.9+18.4
TalladegaR+8.4+25.2
AutaugaR+26.0+19.9
DeKalbR+51.3+22.2
WalkerR+55.3+16.4
ColbertR+23.7+22.5
BlountR+64.9+15.8
CoffeeR+42.5+15.2
RussellD+20.5+18.9
TallapoosaR+34.8+14.5
JacksonR+53.8+17.3
DaleR+36.4+15.6
DallasD+46.0+13.8
ChiltonR+54.6+17.1
CovingtonR+61.1+11.0
ChambersR+4.6+18.5
PikeR+7.7+17.3
LawrenceR+41.0+21.0
EscambiaR+30.8+15.3
ClarkeD+3.2+20.2
GenevaR+66.8+10.0
CherokeeR+63.7+11.4
MarionR+69.6+11.6
FranklinR+47.3+25.5
MarengoD+13.0+16.7
MonroeR+11.5+11.4
BarbourD+0.5+15.1
RandolphR+50.0+14.4
WinstonR+70.9+12.4
PickensR+9.6+13.6
HenryR+38.2+12.3
ButlerR+7.5+15.0
MaconD+65.1+9.3
WashingtonR+43.4+11.6
BibbR+45.2+18.9
HaleD+24.4+17.7
FayetteR+61.2+10.4
ChoctawR+9.0+14.7
WilcoxD+38.8+7.5
ConecuhEven+13.8
LowndesD+47.3+10.3
CrenshawR+41.9+12.5
LamarR+65.2+10.3
ClayR+58.0+11.8
SumterD+54.3+13.3
CleburneR+71.9+11.2
PerryD+54.3+11.8
CoosaR+25.6+17.6
BullockD+55.7+10.3
GreeneD+68.1+12.7

Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Dobson ahead by 16.5. Dobson won by 9.2: a 7.3-point miss toward Republicans.

R+10EvenD+10Result R+9.2Final average R+16.5Nov 3
  • Poll with Rogers ahead
  • Poll with Dobson ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSampleRogersDobsonMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
Cygnal for Alabama Daily News and Gray Media AlabamaR-sponsoredOct 16–Oct 17500 LV3450R+16R+16.5−6.8A+wbrc.com ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 17, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Wayne Rogers
<1%
Caroleene Dobson
>99%
Projected margin
R+18.6
How the forecast works →

Also on this ballot here

U.S. SenateR+9.4
GovernorR+4.0
Lieutenant GovernorR+8.7
Attorney GeneralR+10.0
TreasurerR+10.0
AuditorR+10.5

Results within this state. Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET