2022Flipped from RepublicanFinal resultsSpecial election
2022 special election for Alaska's at-large District
U.S. House · Alaska
Mary Peltola (D) won with 39.5% of the vote, defeating Sarah Palin (R) by 2.3 points, flipping a seat Republicans held.
RCVMary PeltolaDemocrat · winner
39.5%91,266
Sarah PalinRepublican
37.2%86,026
Nick Begich IIIRepublican
23.3%53,810
231,102 votes
Source: Federal Election CommissionUpdated Oct 3, 2026, 3:20 AM ET
The seat over time
D − R margin in this seat's races around 2022
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Polls against the result
- Poll with Peltola ahead
- Poll with Palin ahead
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Peltola | Palin | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | Jul 22 | 1,219 | 50.8 | 49.2 | D+1.6 | — | +22.6 | B− | Wikipedia |
| Alaska Survey Research | Jul 4 | 1,201 | 40 | 29 | D+11 | — | +32.0 | B− | Wikipedia |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via FiveThirtyEight poll listsUpdated Jul 22, 2022