2021 special election for Ohio's 15th District
U.S. House · Ohio
Mike Carey (R) won with 58.3% of the vote, defeating Allison Russo (D) by 16.6 points.
Source: Federal Election CommissionUpdated Oct 3, 2026, 3:20 AM ET
The seat over time
D − R margin in this seat's races around 2021
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through May 20, 2022.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated May 20, 2022
Polls against the result
- Poll with Russo ahead
- Poll with Carey ahead
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Russo | Carey | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Oct 15 | 445 | 38.9 | 50 | R+11.1 | — | +5.5 | A+ | Wikipedia |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via FiveThirtyEight poll listsUpdated Oct 15, 2021