2019 special election for North Carolina's 3rd District
U.S. House · North Carolina
Greg Murphy (R) won with 61.7% of the vote, defeating Allen Thomas (D) by 24.3 points.
Source: Federal Election CommissionUpdated Oct 3, 2026, 3:20 AM ET
The seat over time
D − R margin in this seat's races around 2019
Races before and after
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through Dec 31, 2020.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Dec 31, 2020
Polls against the result
- Poll with Thomas ahead
- Poll with Murphy ahead
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Thomas | Murphy | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RRH Elections | Aug 27 | 500 | 40 | 51 | R+11 | — | +13.3 | B+ | Wikipedia |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via FiveThirtyEight poll listsUpdated Aug 27, 2019
The candidates
Also on the ballot: Greg Holt (Constitution), 0.4%; Tim Harris (Libertarian), 0.3%