CalledUnofficial results

Texas House District 49

Texas House of Representatives · Texas

Montserrat Garibay held the seat for Democrats, winning by 79.9 points over Arshia Papari.

Montserrat GaribayDemocrat · winner
89.9%78,685
10.1%8,802
87,487 votes

Source: Texas Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+69.12022 HouseD+62.02024 Pres.

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Montserrat GaribayNo Republican
$543.9K
Raised by the campaign
—
$531.8K
Spent by the campaign
—
$30.3K
Cash on hand
—

Other candidates' campaigns: Arshia Papari $4.3K.

Campaign money: Texas Ethics Commission, through Oct 24, 2026.

Source: Texas Ethics Commission campaign filingsUpdated Oct 24, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

No Republican was on the ballot, so the model gave the seat to Montserrat Garibay without simulating it.

How the forecast works →