Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Texas › Texas House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Texas House District 49

Montserrat Garibay has no major-party opponent.

Montserrat Garibay has no major-party opponent.

The candidates

The district

Lean D+63: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+64.8D+62.5 vs. nation2020 presidentD+67.2D+62.7 vs. nation2024 presidentD+62.0D+63.5 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
206,825
People per km²
2,238
Adults with a B.A.+
67%
White, no degree
15%of adults
  • White 56%
  • Hispanic 27%
  • Black 5%
  • Asian 7%
  • Other / multiracial 5%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

80,490 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Hinojosa (D)100.0%

2024 President Vote in this district

100,928 two-party votes · D+62.0 · D+63.5 vs. the nation
✓ Kamala Harris (D)81.0%
Donald Trump (R)19.0%

2022

82,836 votes · D+70.6
✓ Gina Hinojosa (D)83.5%
Katherine Griffin (R)14.4%
J David Roberson (L)2.1%

2020 Earlier district lines

101,783 votes · D+62.9
✓ Gina Hinojosa (D)78.9%
Charles Allan Meyer (R)18.0%
Kenneth M Moore (—)3.2%

2020 President Vote in this district

126,492 two-party votes · D+67.2 · D+62.7 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)83.6%
Donald Trump (R)16.4%

2016 President Vote in this district

97,539 two-party votes · D+64.8 · D+62.5 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)82.4%
Donald Trump (R)17.6%