Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Texas House District 34
Texas House of Representatives · Texas
Stephanie Guerrero Saenz flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 11.1 points over Denise Villalobos.
Stephanie Guerrero SaenzDemocrat · winner
55.6%23,765
Denise VillalobosRepublican · incumbent
44.4%19,000
42,765 votes
Source: Texas Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Stephanie Guerrero SaenzDenise Villalobos
$564.8K
Raised by the campaign
$2.2M
$450.5K
Spent by the campaign
$913.1K
$35.4K
Cash on hand
$78.3K
Campaign money: Texas Ethics Commission, through Oct 24, 2026.
Source: Texas Ethics Commission campaign filingsUpdated Oct 24, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Stephanie Guerrero Saenz
- 77%
- Denise Villalobos
- 23%
- Projected margin
- D+6.3