U.S. Senate in Rhode Island
U.S. Senate · Rhode Island
Jack Reed won re-election by 37.5 points over Raymond McKay.
Source: Rhode Island Board of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Reed compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 5 of 5 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Providence, +26.5 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Other candidates' campaigns: Michael Bahry $125.1K.
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Oct 14, 2026
Polls against the result
The final average had Reed ahead by 36.8. Reed won by 37.5: a 0.7-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Reed ahead
- Poll with McKay ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Reed | McKay | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College for WPRI-TV | Oct 8–Oct 11 | 800 LV | 59.13 | 25.44 | D+33.7 | D+40.7 | −3.8 | A+ | wpri.com ↗ |
| Embold Research for Salve Regina University Pell Center for International Relations and Public Policy | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 815 LV | 55 | 32 | D+23 | D+31.9 | −14.5 | B− | salve.edu ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Sep 17–Sep 21 | 595 LV | 53 | 33 | D+20 | D+21.6 | −17.5 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Aug 20–Aug 24 | 722 LV | 51 | 31 | D+20 | D+23.7 | −17.5 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Jun 18–Jun 23 | 627 LV | 52 | 35 | D+17 | D+19.3 | −20.5 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 16–Apr 20 | 556 LV | 52 | 34 | D+18 | D+20.8 | −19.5 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 11, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Jack Reed
- >99%
- Raymond McKay
- <1%
- Projected margin
- D+35.1
The candidates
Incumbent U.S. senator (1997–present)Raymond McKay (R)
Former member of the Rhode Island Republican Party State Central Committee, former president of the Rhode Island Republican Assembly, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2024
Also on the ballot: Michael Bahry (Independent), 3.8%; Write-in (Other party), 0.2%
Also on this ballot here
| Governor | D+44.5 |
| Lieutenant Governor | D+18.9 |
| Attorney General | D+32.9 |
| Secretary of State | Unopposed |
| Treasurer | D+30.6 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Rhode Island Board of Elections (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET