U.S. Senate in Kentucky
U.S. Senate · Kentucky
Andy Barr held the seat for Republicans, winning by 12.1 points over Charles Booker.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 10:59 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Booker compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 120 of 120 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Floyd, +28.2 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 112 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| KEEP AMERICA GREAT PAC, INC.For Barr, against Booker | $7.4M | |
| Win it Back PACAgainst Barr | $4.4M | |
| FIGHT FOR KENTUCKYAgainst Barr | $3.8M | |
| AMERICAN MISSIONFor Barr | $883.4K | |
| FELLOWSHIP PACFor Barr | $628.6K | |
| March On PACFor Booker | $25K | |
| New Power PACFor Booker | $2.2K |
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Barr ahead by 11.8. Barr won by 12.1: a 0.3-point miss toward Democrats.
- Poll with Booker ahead
- Poll with Barr ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Booker | Barr | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group for Charles Booker's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 24–Aug 27 | 600 LV | 40 | 49 | R+9 | R+11.8 | +3.1 | C | fox56news.com ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for Charles Booker's campaignD-sponsored | Dec 18–Dec 19 | 650 RV | 38 | 49 | R+11 | R+12.1 | +1.1 | B+ | kentucky.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Aug 27, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Charles Booker
- 2%
- Andy Barr
- 98%
- Projected margin
- R+15.3
The candidates
U.S. representative from KY-6 (2013–present)Charles Booker (D)
Former state representative (2019–2021), nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022 and candidate in 2020
Also on the ballot: Christopher Campbell (Other party), 2.1%; Write-in (Nonpartisan), 0.0%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Barr.