Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

New Mexico House District 38

New Mexico House of Representatives · New Mexico

David L. Mooney flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 6.0 points over Rebecca Dow.

David L. MooneyDemocrat · winner
53.0%4,891
Rebecca DowRepublican · incumbent
47.0%4,341
9,232 votes

Source: New Mexico Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+1.42022 HouseR+3.32024 HouseR+4.32024 Pres.D+6.02026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

David L. Mooney
44%
Rebecca Dow
56%
Projected margin
R+1.1
How the forecast works →