Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

New Hampshire Senate District 16

New Hampshire State Senate · New Hampshire

Dian McCarthy flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 5.0 points over Keith Murphy.

Dian McCarthyDemocrat · winner
52.4%13,386
Keith MurphyRepublican · incumbent
47.5%12,119
NonpartisanNonpartisan
0.1%21
100% of the expected vote counted · 25,526 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+6.82022 SenateR+13.42024 SenateR+7.92024 Pres.D+5.02026 Senate

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Dian McCarthy
21%
Keith Murphy
79%
Projected margin
R+5.6
How the forecast works →