Within recount rangeUnofficial results
Minnesota Senate District 4
Minnesota State Senate · Minnesota
Austin Peterson leads Rob Kupec by 0.01 points in the state's complete count, within recount range. The race is not called until the state certifies its results.
Austin PetersonRepublican · leading
49.9%18,107
Rob KupecDemocrat · incumbent
49.9%18,103
Write-InOther party
0.1%42
36,252 votes
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Rob KupecAustin Peterson
$131.3K
Raised by the campaign
$92.9K
$125.8K
Spent by the campaign
$68.6K
$20.6K
Cash on hand
$24.3K
Campaign money: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board, through Oct 19, 2026.
Source: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Rob Kupec
- 80%
- Austin Peterson
- 20%
- Projected margin
- D+6.3
The candidates
Austin Peterson (R)Rob Kupec (D)
Incumbent, Minnesota State Senate, first elected 2022
Incumbent, Minnesota State Senate, first elected 2022
Also on the ballot: Write-In (Other party), 0.1%