CalledUnofficial results

Vermont's at-large District

Name: Vermont's at-large District
Start: 2026-11-03
Location: Vermont

U.S. House · Vermont

Becca Balint won re-election by 34.4 points over Gerald Malloy.

Fusion voting

Becca BalintDemocrat · winner · incumbent

65.2%198,758

Gerald MalloyRepublican

30.9%94,078

Suzanne "Suz" SeymourIndependent

1.4%4,362

Ryan P. WaltonIndependent

0.9%2,700

Phoenix K. AltairIndependent

0.8%2,335

Adam OrtizIndependent

0.7%2,196

Write-inOther party

0.1%246

304,675 votes

Source: Vermont Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every precinct, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a precinct, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Balint compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 11 of 14 did. The largest shift among the bigger precincts: Windham, +9.0 points.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift

ChittendenD+52.1−0.5

WashingtonD+42.5−0.1

WindsorD+39.2+4.2

RutlandD+9.7+4.5

WindhamD+51.1+9.1

FranklinD+6.0+3.1

AddisonD+35.6+0.4

BenningtonD+29.5+7.4

Show 6 more

OrangeD+23.0+3.2

CaledoniaD+17.0+4.9

LamoilleD+35.6+0.4

OrleansD+4.3+5.8

Grand IsleD+19.5−1.3

EssexR+6.5+9.3

Bar: share of the district's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Becca BalintGerald Malloy

$1.2M

Raised by the campaign

$189.6K

$712.2K

Spent by the campaign

$155.3K

$612K

Cash on hand

$34.2K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026.

Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Oct 14, 2026

Polls against the result

The final average had Balint ahead by 32.7. Balint won by 34.4: a 1.7-point miss toward Republicans.

Poll with Balint ahead
Poll with Malloy ahead
Final polling average
Result

Pollster	Dates	Sample	Balint	Malloy	Margin	Adjusted	Miss vs result	Grade	Release
Braun Research for Vermont Public RadioMain question	Sep 10–Sep 21	817 A	43.28	28.3	D+15	—	−19.4	B−	vermontpublic.org ↗
Braun Research for Vermont Public RadioMain question · in average	Sep 10–Sep 21	732 LV	46.92	30.25	D+16.7	D+28.4	−17.7	B−	vermontpublic.org ↗
University of New Hampshire	Sep 17–Sep 21	830 LV	66	30	D+36	D+35.9	+1.6	C	scholars.unh.edu ↗
University of New Hampshire	Jul 15–Jul 20	949 LV	63	25	D+38	D+42.5	+3.6	C	scholars.unh.edu ↗
University of New Hampshire	Jun 18–Jun 23	872 LV	57	26	D+31	D+37.1	−3.4	C	scholars.unh.edu ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 21, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Becca Balint: >99%
Gerald Malloy: <1%
Projected margin: D+39.3

How the forecast works →

The candidates

Becca Balint (D)
Incumbent U.S. representative (2023–present)Gerald Malloy (R)
Retired military officer, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022 and 2024

Also on the ballot: Suzanne "Suz" Seymour (Independent), 1.4%; Ryan P. Walton (Independent), 0.9%; Phoenix K. Altair (Independent), 0.8%; Adam Ortiz (Independent), 0.7%; Write-in (Other party), 0.1%