South Carolina's 7th District
U.S. House · South Carolina
Russell Fry won re-election by 13.5 points over John Vincent.
Source: South Carolina Election Commission unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Oct 14, 2026
Polls against the result
The final average had Fry ahead by 8.2. Fry won by 13.5: a 5.3-point miss toward Democrats.
- Poll with Vincent ahead
- Poll with Fry ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Vincent | Fry | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling for John Vincent's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 27–Jul 28 | 557 LV | 36.7 | 41.1 | R+4.4 | R+8.2 | +9.1 | A− | holycitysinner.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Jul 28, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- John Vincent
- 2%
- Russell Fry
- 98%
- Projected margin
- R+15.6
The candidates
Incumbent U.S. representativeJohn Vincent (D)
Retiree
Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.1%