Called Nov 3Unofficial results
Pennsylvania's 16th District
U.S. House · Pennsylvania
Mike Kelly won re-election by 7.9 points over Justin Wagner.
Mike KellyRepublican · winner · incumbent
53.9%154,144
Justin WagnerDemocrat
46.1%131,637
80% of the expected vote counted · 285,781 votes
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Justin WagnerMike Kelly
$247.1K
Raised by the campaign
—
$189.3K
Spent by the campaign
—
$62.9K
Cash on hand
—
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. No FEC filings matched for Mike Kelly.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Oct 14, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Justin Wagner
- 1%
- Mike Kelly
- 99%
- Projected margin
- R+16.2
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Kelly.