CalledUnofficial results

New York's 20th District

U.S. House · New York

Paul Tonko won re-election by 27.2 points over Ralph Ambrosio.

Fusion voting

Paul TonkoDemocrat · winner · incumbent
63.6%181,761
Ralph AmbrosioRepublican
36.3%103,904
Write-inOther party
0.1%249
285,914 votes

Source: New York State Board of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+22.32024 HouseD+14.32024 Pres.D+27.22026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Paul TonkoRalph Ambrosio
$1.2M
Raised by the campaign
$61.5K
$1.4M
Spent by the campaign
$54.2K
$490.7K
Cash on hand
$7.3K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026.

Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Oct 14, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Paul Tonko
>99%
Ralph Ambrosio
<1%
Projected margin
D+26.3
How the forecast works →

The candidates