North Carolina's 10th District
U.S. House · North Carolina
Pat Harrigan won re-election by 1.0 points over Ashley Bell.
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| DEFEND AMERICAN JOBSFor Harrigan | $150K | |
| WE THE PEOPLE...CAN'T EVENFor Bell, against Harrigan | $37.6K | |
| PATRIOTIC FUND, INC.For Harrigan | $11.1K | |
| THE CONSERVATIVE CAUCUS DBA AMERICANS FOR CONSTITUTIONAL LIBERTYAgainst Bell | $242 |
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Harrigan ahead by 10.7. Harrigan won by 1.0: a 9.7-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Bell ahead
- Poll with Harrigan ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Bell | Harrigan | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragnar Research Partners for Conservatives for AmericaR-sponsored | Mar 10–Mar 12 | 400 LV | 37 | 52 | R+15 | R+10.7 | −14.0 | B+ | punchbowl.news ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Mar 12, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Ashley Bell
- 8%
- Pat Harrigan
- 92%
- Projected margin
- R+9.0
The candidates
Incumbent U.S. representativeAshley Bell (D)
Physician associate
Also on the ballot: Steve Feldman (Libertarian), 1.6%