Called Nov 3Unofficial results

Mississippi's 1st District

U.S. House · Mississippi

Trent Kelly won re-election by 18.1 points over Cliff Johnson.

Trent KellyRepublican · winner · incumbent
58.3%139,794
40.3%96,470
Johnny BaucomLibertarian
1.4%3,343
99% of the expected vote counted · 239,607 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+45.92022 HouseR+39.62024 HouseR+37.52024 Pres.R+18.12026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Cliff JohnsonTrent Kelly
$848.6K
Raised by the campaign
$1.3M
$759.4K
Spent by the campaign
$1.1M
$89.2K
Cash on hand
$834.2K
$13K
Outside spending for them
$0
$0
Outside spending against their opponent
$0
$861.6K
All money helping them
$1.3M

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

VOTE COURAGE 4 DEMOCRACY FUNDFor Johnson$11.7K
Mississippi Democratic PartyFor Johnson$1.3K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Cliff Johnson
<1%
Trent Kelly
>99%
Projected margin
R+27.5
How the forecast works →

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Kelly.