Called Nov 3Unofficial results

Massachusetts's 4th District

U.S. House · Massachusetts

Jake Auchincloss won re-election by 32.8 points over Thomas Stalcup.

Jake AuchinclossDemocrat · winner · incumbent
66.4%192,666
Thomas StalcupRepublican
33.6%97,595
85% of the expected vote counted · 290,261 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+20.12024 Pres.D+32.82026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Jake AuchinclossThomas Stalcup
$3.9M
Raised by the campaign
$26.6K
$1.4M
Spent by the campaign
$26.5K
$7.5M
Cash on hand
$147
$189.5K
Outside spending for them
$0
$0
Outside spending against their opponent
$0
$4.1M
All money helping them
$26.6K

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

Protect ProgressFor Auchincloss$189.5K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Jake Auchincloss
>99%
Thomas Stalcup
<1%
Projected margin
D+41.6
How the forecast works →

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Auchincloss.