Florida's 7th District
U.S. House · Florida
Ryan Elijah held the seat for Republicans, winning by 0.5 points over Bale Dalton.
Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| HMPAgainst Elijah | $1.5M | |
| CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC.For Elijah, against Dalton | $704.6K | |
| BDA PACFor Dalton | $700K | |
| Project 218For Dalton | $632K | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Elijah, against Dalton | $370.6K | |
| VoteVetsFor Dalton, against Elijah | $115.4K | |
| MAGA INC.Against Dalton | $73.4K | |
| Building TogetherFor Dalton, against Elijah | $35.2K | |
| STAND FOR FREEDOM PACFor Elijah | $24.3K | |
| 1199 SEIU United Healthcare Workers East Federal Political Action FundFor Dalton | $7.9K |
Show 2 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Elijah ahead by 2.2. Elijah won by 0.5: a 1.7-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Dalton ahead
- Poll with Elijah ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Dalton | Elijah | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting TeamD-sponsored | Oct 17–Oct 19 | 414 LV | 45 | 45 | Even | R+2.2 | +0.5 | — | floridapolitics.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Bale Dalton
- 35%
- Ryan Elijah
- 65%
- Projected margin
- R+2.3
The candidates
Former WOFL reporter and candidate for IN-3 in 2010Bale Dalton (D)
Former NASA chief of staff
Also on the ballot: Christopher Dennison (Libertarian), 1.1%