Colorado's 8th District
U.S. House · Colorado
Manny Rutinel flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 14.7 points over Gabe Evans.
Source: Colorado Secretary of State unofficial results; race call: civicAPIUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| HMPAgainst Evans | $7.8M | |
| SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC.Against Rutinel | $2.5M | |
| LCV Victory FundFor Rutinel, against Evans | $1.9M | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.Against Rutinel | $1.5M | |
| Mainstream Colorado FundAgainst Evans | $1.1M | |
| Latino Victory FundFor Rutinel | $1M | |
| 314 Action FundFor Rutinel, against Evans | $983.4K | |
| YOU CAN PUSH BACKFor Rutinel | $976.9K | |
| Somos PACFor Rutinel | $823.6K | |
| Women VoteAgainst Rutinel | $653.9K | |
| Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. (AFP Action) DBA CVA Action and DBA LIBRE ActionFor Evans | $614.4K | |
| JOBS AND DEMOCRACY PACAgainst Evans | $599.4K | |
| PROTECT AND SERVE PACFor Evans | $312.4K |
Show 5 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Rutinel ahead by 4.9. Rutinel won by 14.7: a 9.8-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Rutinel ahead
- Poll with Evans ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Rutinel | Evans | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates for Enhancing American CompetitivenessR-sponsored | Sep 16–Sep 17 | 400 LV | 46.3 | 48 | R+1.7 | D+4.9 | −16.4 | C− | coloradosun.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 17, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Manny Rutinel
- 87%
- Gabe Evans
- 13%
- Projected margin
- D+6.7
The candidates
Former state representative from the 32nd district (2023–2026)Gabe Evans (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative
Also on the ballot: Dave Wood (Libertarian), 3.9%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Rutinel.