Colorado's 5th District
U.S. House · Colorado
Jessica Killin flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 4.7 points over Jeff Crank.
Source: Colorado Secretary of State unofficial results; race call: civicAPIUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Crank, against Killin | $3M | |
| HMPAgainst Crank | $1.3M | |
| CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.Against Killin | $1M | |
| Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. (AFP Action) DBA CVA Action and DBA LIBRE ActionFor Crank, against Killin | $829.2K | |
| AB PACFor Killin, against Crank | $511.5K | |
| Women VoteAgainst Crank | $479.1K | |
| CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC.For Crank, against Killin | $415.5K | |
| VoteVetsAgainst Crank | $243.3K | |
| AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC.For Crank | $207K | |
| MAGA INC.Against Killin | $63.2K | |
| BUILDING AMERICAN GREATNESS PACAgainst Killin | $36.5K | |
| Working AmericaFor Killin | $33.4K |
Show 4 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Crank ahead by 1.1. Killin won by 4.7: a 5.8-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Killin ahead
- Poll with Crank ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Killin | Crank | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling for House Majority PACD-sponsored | Oct 19–Oct 20 | 577 LV | 47 | 47 | Even | R+1.4 | −4.7 | B+ | x.com ↗ |
| Global Strategy Group for Jessica Killin's campaignD-sponsoredfield: Mitchell, Killin, Elworth, Crank | Oct 14–Oct 18 | 500 LV | 43 | 38 | D+5 | — | +0.3 | C | coloradosun.com ↗ |
| Global Strategy Group for Jessica Killin's campaignD-sponsoredMain question · in average | Oct 14–Oct 18 | 500 LV | 46 | 44 | D+2 | R+0.6 | −2.7 | C | coloradosun.com ↗ |
| Global Strategy Group for Jessica Killin's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 16–Jul 21 | 450 LV | 44 | 45 | R+1 | R+2.7 | −5.7 | C | coloradosun.com ↗ |
| Global Strategy Group for Jessica Killin's campaignD-sponsored | Oct 30–Nov 3 | 450 LV | 40 | 43 | R+3 | R+3.2 | −7.7 | C | globalstrategygroup.app.box.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 20, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Jessica Killin
- 45%
- Jeff Crank
- 55%
- Projected margin
- R+0.6
The candidates
Former chief of staff to Second Gentleman Doug EmhoffJeff Crank (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative
Also on the ballot: Mark "Marky Jr" Elworth (Libertarian), 1.9%; Christopher Mitchell (Constitution), 1.7%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Killin.