California's 34th District
U.S. House · California
Angela Gonzales-Torres held the seat for Democrats, winning by 22.7 points over Jimmy Gomez.
Top-two primary
Source: California Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Other candidates' campaigns: Jimmy Gomez $1.3M.
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The polls
- Poll with Gonzales-Torres ahead
- Poll with R ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Gonzales-Torres | R | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab | Oct 16–Oct 24 | 423 LV | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | politico.com ↗ |
| Center for Strategic Politics for Angela Gonzales-Torres's campaignD-sponsored | Oct 8–Oct 12 | 416 LV | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | stratpolitics.org ↗ |
| Upswing Research for Guardrails Alliance | Sep 1–Sep 5 | 403 LV | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | semafor.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 24, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
No Republican was on the ballot, so the model gave the seat to Angela Gonzales-Torres without simulating it.
How the forecast works →