Top-two primary
All candidates run in one primary regardless of party and the two with the most votes advance, so two candidates of the same party can meet in November. The forecast then marks the seat as safe for that party.
California › U.S. House of Representatives · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Same-party general election. Two Democrats advanced to November: the seat stays Democratic.
Jimmy Gomez has no major-party opponent.
Jimmy Gomez has no major-party opponent.
All candidates run in one primary regardless of party and the two with the most votes advance, so two candidates of the same party can meet in November. The forecast then marks the seat as safe for that party.
Incumbent U.S. representative
Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.
Former at-large Historic Highland Park neighborhood councilor (2023–2025)
Money: FEC, through Jun 30, 2026.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Gomez | R | Margin | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center for Strategic Politics for Gonzales-Torres's campaignD-sponsored | Oct 8–Oct 12 | 416 LV | 38 | — | — | |
| Upswing Research for Guardrails AllianceD-sponsored | Sep 1–Sep 5 | 403 LV | 38 | — | — |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect, registered vs. likely voters, and movement in the national environment since the poll; shown for the polls carrying the most weight in today's average. Larger dots in the chart carry the most weight. Last poll: Oct 12, 2026.
Lean D+56: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.