Vermont Governor
Governor · Vermont
Phil Scott won re-election by 6.6 points over Amanda Janoo.
Legislature picks if no majorityTwo-year governor's termFusion voting
Source: Vermont Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Janoo compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 0 of 14 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Chittenden, −46.0 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 6 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Janoo ahead by 2.3. Scott won by 6.6: a 8.9-point miss toward Democrats.
- Poll with Janoo ahead
- Poll with Scott ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Janoo | Scott | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | Oct 27–Oct 31 | 1,164 LV | 51 | 43 | D+8 | D+6.7 | +14.6 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| State Navigate | Oct 23–Oct 25 | 1,752 LV | 46 | 49 | R+3 | R+2.3 | +3.6 | — | articles.statenavigate.com ↗ |
| State Navigate | Oct 2–Oct 4 | 948 LV | 43 | 46 | R+3 | R+2.6 | +3.6 | — | articles.statenavigate.com ↗ |
| Braun Research for Vermont Public RadioMain question | Sep 10–Sep 21 | 817 A | 31.96 | 41.56 | R+9.6 | — | −3.0 | B− | vermontpublic.org ↗ |
| Braun Research for Vermont Public RadioMain question · in average | Sep 10–Sep 21 | 732 LV | 34.43 | 43.73 | R+9.3 | R+5.1 | −2.7 | B− | vermontpublic.org ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Sep 17–Sep 21 | 829 LV | 49 | 43 | D+6 | D+4.9 | +12.6 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Jul 15–Jul 20 | 925 LV | 33 | 44 | R+11 | R+14.9 | −4.4 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Jun 18–Jun 23 | 867 LV | 27 | 42 | R+15 | — | −8.4 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 31, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Amanda Janoo
- 66%
- Phil Scott
- 34%
- Projected margin
- D+2.4
The candidates
Incumbent governor (2017–present)Amanda Janoo (D)
Economist
Also on the ballot: Brian Judd (Independent), 0.8%; June Goodband (Peace and Justice), 0.4%; Dean Roy (Other party), 0.4%; Write-in (Other party), 0.1%
Also on this ballot here
| Lieutenant Governor | D+25.7 |
| Attorney General | D+35.7 |
| Secretary of State | D+26.6 |
| Treasurer | D+30.9 |
| Auditor | D+38.3 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Vermont Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET