Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial results
Florida House District 38
Florida House of Representatives · Florida
Nik Dean flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 12.5 points over Emily Duda Buckley.
Nik DeanDemocrat · winner
56.2%39,071
Emily Duda BuckleyRepublican
43.8%30,406
69,477 votes
Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Nik DeanEmily Duda Buckley
$44.8K
Raised by the campaign
$518.9K
$14.3K
Spent by the campaign
$311K
$30.5K
Cash on hand
$207.9K
Campaign money: Florida Division of Elections, through Oct 27, 2026; Florida Division of Elections, through Oct 29, 2026.
Source: Florida Division of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 27, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Nik Dean
- 77%
- Emily Duda Buckley
- 23%
- Projected margin
- D+5.4