Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Florida House District 106
Florida House of Representatives · Florida
Lucia Baez-Geller flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 7.9 points over Fabian Basabe.
Lucia Baez-GellerDemocrat · winner
54.0%30,926
Fabian BasabeRepublican · incumbent
46.0%26,381
57,307 votes
Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Lucia Baez-GellerFabian Basabe
$403.8K
Raised by the campaign
$256.7K
$388.6K
Spent by the campaign
$103.6K
$15.2K
Cash on hand
$153.1K
Campaign money: Florida Division of Elections, through Oct 29, 2026; Florida Division of Elections, through Oct 22, 2026.
Source: Florida Division of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 29, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Lucia Baez-Geller
- 58%
- Fabian Basabe
- 42%
- Projected margin
- D+1.6