Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Florida › Florida House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Florida House District 106

R vs R

Same-party general election. Two Republicans advanced to November: the seat stays Republican.

Fabián Basabe has no major-party opponent.

Fabián Basabe has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Unopposed races skip the ballot

A candidate with no opponent is declared elected and the race does not appear on the ballot, so some seats have no vote totals.

The candidates

RepublicanCandidate

Lucia Báez-Geller

Former Miami-Dade County Public Schools District 3 Board Member

Experience
No elected office
RepublicanCandidate

Ashley Litwin Diego

Lawyer

Experience
No elected office

The district

Lean R+4: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+28.9D+26.7 vs. nation2020 presidentD+10.4D+5.8 vs. nation2024 presidentR+9.1R+7.6 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
182,419
People per km²
828
Adults with a B.A.+
54%
White, no degree
14%of adults
  • White 40%
  • Hispanic 49%
  • Black 3%
  • Asian 2%
  • Other / multiracial 5%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

74,886 votes · R+4.3
✓ Fabián Basabe (R)51.3%
Joe Saunders (D)47.0%
Mo Saunders Scott (NPA)1.7%

2024 President Vote in this district

77,895 two-party votes · R+9.1 · R+7.6 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)54.5%
Kamala Harris (D)45.5%

2022

52,592 votes · R+0.5
✓ Fabian Basabe (R)50.2%
Jordan W Leonard (D)49.8%

2020 Earlier district lines

105,849 votes · R+31.9
✓ Bob Rommel (R)65.9%
Sara McFadden (D)34.1%

2020 President Vote in this district

84,742 two-party votes · D+10.4 · D+5.8 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)55.2%
Donald Trump (R)44.8%

2016 President Vote in this district

69,470 two-party votes · D+28.9 · D+26.7 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)64.5%
Donald Trump (R)35.5%