Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Arizona Legislative District 27
Arizona State Senate · Arizona
Kyle Clayton flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 6.1 points over Kevin Payne.
Kyle ClaytonDemocrat · winner
53.0%39,626
Kevin PayneRepublican · incumbent
46.9%35,100
Unofficial Write-inOther party
0.1%77
74,803 votes
Source: Arizona Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Kyle ClaytonKevin Payne
$54.7K
Raised by the campaign
$94.8K
$16.2K
Spent by the campaign
$107.6K
$35.1K
Cash on hand
$39.4K
Campaign money: Arizona Secretary of State, through Sep 30, 2026.
Source: Arizona Secretary of State campaign filingsUpdated Sep 30, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Kyle Clayton
- 8%
- Kevin Payne
- 92%
- Projected margin
- R+11.6
The candidates
Kyle Clayton (D)Kevin Payne (R)
Incumbent, Arizona State Senate, first elected 2024
Incumbent, Arizona State Senate, first elected 2024
Also on the ballot: Unofficial Write-in (Other party), 0.1%