CalledUnofficial results

Wisconsin Assembly District 34

Wisconsin State Assembly · Wisconsin

Rob Swearingen won re-election by 18.4 points over Merlin Van Buren.

Rob SwearingenRepublican · winner · incumbent
59.2%19,083
40.8%13,142
66% of the expected vote counted · 32,225 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 5, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+28.22024 HouseR+20.02024 Pres.R+18.42026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Merlin Van BurenRob Swearingen
$33.8K
Raised by the campaign
$78.1K
$23.7K
Spent by the campaign
$46.6K
$5.4K
Cash on hand
$117.5K

Campaign money: Wisconsin Ethics Commission, through Oct 21, 2026; Wisconsin Ethics Commission, through Oct 19, 2026.

Source: Wisconsin Ethics Commission campaign filingsUpdated Oct 21, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Merlin Van Buren
3%
Rob Swearingen
97%
Projected margin
R+15.0
How the forecast works →