CalledUnofficial results

Texas House District 15

Texas House of Representatives · Texas

Brad Bailey held the seat for Republicans, winning by 16.9 points over Moniqua S. Scott.

Brad BaileyRepublican · winner
56.9%45,484
40.0%31,979
Jessi CowartLibertarian
3.1%2,516
79,979 votes

Source: Texas Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+31.32022 HouseR+27.42024 Pres.R+16.92026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Moniqua S. ScottBrad Bailey
$4.9K
Raised by the campaign
$343.8K
$6K
Spent by the campaign
$238.3K
$1.4K
Cash on hand
$101.7K

Other candidates' campaigns: Jessi Cowart $35.7K.

Campaign money: Texas Ethics Commission, through Oct 24, 2026.

Source: Texas Ethics Commission campaign filingsUpdated Oct 24, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Moniqua S. Scott
<1%
Brad Bailey
>99%
Projected margin
R+24.2
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Brad Bailey (R)Moniqua S. Scott (D)

Also on the ballot: Jessi Cowart (Libertarian), 3.1%