Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Texas House District 138
Texas House of Representatives · Texas
Tyler Smith flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 3.8 points over Lacey Hull.
Tyler SmithDemocrat · winner
51.9%34,242
Lacey HullRepublican · incumbent
48.1%31,713
65,955 votes
Source: Texas Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Tyler SmithLacey Hull
$614.1K
Raised by the campaign
$2.3M
$478.7K
Spent by the campaign
$1.1M
$41.7K
Cash on hand
$580.9K
Campaign money: Texas Ethics Commission, through Oct 24, 2026.
Source: Texas Ethics Commission campaign filingsUpdated Oct 24, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Tyler Smith
- 49%
- Lacey Hull
- 51%
- Projected margin
- R+0.1