Still countingUnofficial results
Pennsylvania House District 40
Pennsylvania House of Representatives · Pennsylvania
Natalie Stuck leads Jonathan C. Lloyd by 3.0 points with 100% of the expected vote counted. The race has not been called.
Natalie StuckRepublican · leading
51.5%16,755
Jonathan C. LloydDemocrat
48.5%15,784
100% of the expected vote counted · 32,539 votes
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 2:10 AM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Jonathan C. LloydNatalie Stuck
$105.8K
Raised by the campaign
$98.5K
$69.5K
Spent by the campaign
$64.6K
$36.3K
Cash on hand
$41.7K
Campaign money: Pennsylvania Department of State, through Oct 19, 2026; Pennsylvania Department of State, through Jun 8, 2026.
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Jonathan C. Lloyd
- 54%
- Natalie Stuck
- 46%
- Projected margin
- D+0.8