99chambers
2026Still countingUnofficial results

2026 election for Oregon House District 51

Oregon House of Representatives · Oregon

Matt Bunch leads Darla Mead by 19.8 points. The race has not been called.

Cross-party nominationsTwo-thirds quorum

Matt BunchRepublican · leading · incumbent
59.9%22,080
Darla MeadDemocrat
40.0%14,760
Write-inOther party
0.1%40
36,880 votes

Source: Oregon Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET

The seat over time

D − R margin in this seat's races around 2026

The seat's recent races

EvenR+32.42022R+19.42024 Pres.R+19.82026

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Darla MeadMatt Bunch
$25.1K
Raised by the campaign
$84.3K
$7.1K
Spent by the campaign
$71.4K

Campaign money: Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR), through Oct 9, 2026; Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR), through Oct 7, 2026.

Source: Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR) campaign filingsUpdated Oct 7, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Darla Mead
3%
Matt Bunch
97%
Projected margin
R+14.0
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Matt Bunch (R)
Incumbent, Oregon House of RepresentativesDarla Mead (D)

Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.1%