Called by civicAPIUnofficial results

Oregon House District 40

Oregon House of Representatives · Oregon

Michael W Sugar held the seat for Democrats, winning by 17.9 points over Adam Baker.

Cross-party nominationsTwo-thirds quorum

Michael W SugarDemocrat · winner
57.4%19,051
Adam BakerRepublican
39.5%13,118
Pat HubbellIndependent
2.9%976
Write-inOther party
0.1%24
33,169 votes

Source: Oregon Secretary of State unofficial results; race call: civicAPIUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+0.52022 HouseD+11.92024 HouseD+12.82024 Pres.D+17.92026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Michael W SugarAdam Baker
$231.6K
Raised by the campaign
$69.5K
$98.3K
Spent by the campaign
$35.9K

Campaign money: Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR), through Oct 14, 2026; Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR), through Oct 6, 2026.

Source: Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR) campaign filingsUpdated Oct 6, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Michael W Sugar
98%
Adam Baker
2%
Projected margin
D+15.6
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Michael W Sugar (D)Adam Baker (R)

Also on the ballot: Pat Hubbell (Independent), 2.9%; Write-in (Other party), 0.1%