99chambers
Still countingUnofficial results

Oregon House District 15

Oregon House of Representatives · Oregon

Shelly Boshart Davis leads Joanna Robinson by 3.2 points. The race has not been called.

Cross-party nominationsTwo-thirds quorum

Shelly Boshart DavisRepublican · leading · incumbent
51.5%17,478
Joanna RobinsonDemocrat
48.4%16,405
Write-inOther party
0.1%32
33,915 votes

Source: Oregon Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+20.12022 HouseR+17.52024 HouseR+3.72024 Pres.R+3.22026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Joanna RobinsonShelly Boshart Davis
$62.5K
Raised by the campaign
$556.3K
$30K
Spent by the campaign
$533.1K

Campaign money: Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR), through Oct 10, 2026; Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR), through Oct 6, 2026.

Source: Oregon Secretary of State (ORESTAR) campaign filingsUpdated Oct 10, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Joanna Robinson
21%
Shelly Boshart Davis
79%
Projected margin
R+6.0
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Shelly Boshart Davis (R)
Incumbent, Oregon House of Representatives, first elected 2018Joanna Robinson (D)

Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.1%