Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

New York Senate District 39

New York State Senate · New York

Lisa Kaul flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 10.4 points over Robert Rolison.

Fusion voting

Lisa KaulDemocrat · winner
55.2%62,877
Robert RolisonRepublican · incumbent
44.8%51,009
Write-inOther party
0.0%31
113,917 votes

Source: New York State Board of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+6.22022 SenateR+1.42024 SenateD+4.22024 Pres.D+10.42026 Senate

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Lisa KaulRobert Rolison
$469.2K
Raised by the campaign
$286K
$653.4K
Public matching funds
$332.7K
$711.6K
Spent by the campaign
$565.6K
49%
Individual money from small donors (≤$250)
21%
1,327
Contributions
773

Other candidates' campaigns: Evan R. Menist $65.6K.

Top funders

Largest contributors to each campaign; the color shows which candidate they gave to.

Nys Democratic Senate Campaign CommitteeTo Kaul's campaign$300K
Helene ParisTo Kaul's campaign$10K
INTL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS 456 PACTo Rolison's campaign$10K
Kimberly WilliamTo Rolison's campaign$10K
BARONI SCRAP METAL LLCTo Rolison's campaign$7.5K
Lawrence LaybourneTo Rolison's campaign$5.5K
LAWPAC OF NYTo Rolison's campaign$5.1K
Cwa District 1 PacTo Kaul's campaign$5K
Preston Werner Revocable TrustTo Kaul's campaign$5K
Diane KoeppelTo Kaul's campaign$5K
Show 2 more

Campaign money: New York State Board of Elections, through Oct 19, 2026.

Source: New York State Board of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Jul 11, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Lisa Kaul
87%
Robert Rolison
14%
Projected margin
D+7.9
How the forecast works →

The candidates